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Fed's Looming Rate Cut Could Bolster Biden's Reelection Bid

The Federal Reserve is anticipated to lower interest rates, which may positively impact President Joe Biden's reelection campaign by potentially easing public concerns over high inflation and increasing housing costs. This move, however, is expected to attract criticism, especially from Republican circles, including Donald Trump, who argue that the Fed's actions could unfairly influence the election outcome. Trump has preemptively suggested that Fed Chair Jerome Powell, appointed by him in 2018, might lower rates to benefit the Democrats.

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Iran’s Currency Hits a Record Low

Iran's currency dropped to an all-time low of 613,500 to the dollar amid the Persian New Year celebrations. The scarcity of open exchange shops during the Nowruz holiday, which spans from March 20 to April 2, exacerbated the situation. High demand for foreign currency, particularly dollars and Euros, due to holiday travel, coupled with limited access to exchange services, significantly influenced the currency's valuation. This event reflects broader economic pressures and the impact of seasonal factors on Iran's financial stability.

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Gold's Bright Future: Predicted Surge Past $2,500 in 2024

In 2024, gold is expected to shine brightly, driven by three pivotal factors: anticipated interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, a weakening US dollar, and ongoing geopolitical tensions. These elements are forecasted to sustain high gold prices, with expert predictions suggesting that the metal will not only remain above $1,950 per ounce but could also surpass the $2,500 mark. This optimistic outlook is supported by several research agencies, which have adjusted their price forecasts upward, indicating a robust period ahead for gold investors.

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JP Morgan: Is It a Golden Era for Gold?

Recently, gold has responded strongly to real yields, buoyed by significant central bank purchases. With real yields peaking, ongoing geopolitical tensions, sustained demand from central banks, and robust retail jewelry demand, JP Morgan holds a positive outlook on gold. They argue for its inclusion in diversified portfolios for its potential to protect against short-term risks, serve as a long-term store of value, and diversify portfolio risk.

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Striking Gold: Could Miner's Returns Outpace Gold Bullion?

Over the last three years, physical gold has significantly outshined gold-mining company shares, marking one of the most substantial performance gaps in recent decades. Gold's value soared to a new record, surpassing $2,200 per ounce, whereas the PHLX Gold/Silver Index, representative of gold-mining companies, has not seen growth in the same period. This trend suggests that after a phase where gold shares lag behind physical gold, gold-mining shares usually bounce back, outperforming rather than gold bullion's performance declining. Therefore, the historical pattern indicates potential for gold-mining shares to offer lucrative returns in the wake of their underperformance compared to physical gold.

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