Markets Rally Despite December CPI Edging Above Forecast
Published: Wednesday, 15 January 2025 09:35 | 
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The latest inflation data showed U.S. consumer prices increased marginally above expectations in December, with the CPI rising 0.4% monthly and 2.9% annually, driven partly by higher energy costs. The figures, while slightly exceeding economists' forecasts of a 0.3% monthly gain, appear to support the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts for 2024. Markets interpreted the data optimistically, with S&P 500 futures surging 1.5%, the 10-year Treasury yield dropping 12.1 basis points to 4.667%, and the dollar index declining 0.4% to 108.76, suggesting investors view the inflation trajectory as manageable within the Fed's policy framework.
BlackRock Hits Record Assets as Markets Await Inflation Signal
Published: Wednesday, 15 January 2025 09:33 | |
| Global markets advanced cautiously on Wednesday as investors awaited U.S. CPI data that could significantly impact monetary policy decisions. Wall Street futures rose 0.2-0.3%, while European markets gained strength, particularly in UK homebuilders following surprisingly cool British inflation data. The bond market saw some respite from recent selling pressure, with Treasury and German Bund yields retreating. BlackRock's record $11.6 trillion in assets under management highlighted strong financial sector performance, while market expectations for Fed rate cuts have notably decreased, with traders now pricing in only 31.4 basis points of easing compared to 45 basis points a week ago. JPMorgan analysts note that the upcoming CPI report could be a crucial pivot point, potentially reigniting market rallies with a dovish print or pushing 10-year yields toward 5% if hawkish.
Commodity Markets Diverge as Trump's Tariff Plans Loom
Published: Wednesday, 15 January 2025 09:27 | |
| US commodity markets are showing notable price divergences from global benchmarks as traders position themselves for Donald Trump's proposed import tariffs. The president-elect's team is considering a gradual implementation of tariffs ranging from 10-20% on foreign goods, with potentially higher rates of 60% or more for Chinese imports. According to Citigroup analysts, platinum faces the highest risk due to significant US import dependence and limited sourcing from free-trade agreement countries. Meanwhile, precious metals like gold and silver may avoid tariffs due to their status as monetary instruments and legal tender. The analysts also warn that potential 25% tariffs on Canadian imports could significantly impact US energy prices, particularly affecting refiners and consumers in regions with limited alternatives.
Gold Prices Rise as Markets Eye Critical U.S. Inflation Report
Published: Wednesday, 15 January 2025 09:22 | |
| Gold prices gained momentum as both the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields retreated, with spot prices rising 0.4% to $2,687.59 per ounce and futures climbing over 1% to $2,710.00. Markets are particularly focused on upcoming CPI data, expected to show annual inflation increasing to 2.9% from November's 2.7%. According to Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen, market uncertainty is heightened by both the pending inflation data and political considerations, including Trump's proposed import tariffs that could impact inflation and complicate the Federal Reserve's rate decisions. Despite Tuesday's moderate PPI increase, analysts suggest rate cuts may not materialize until the second half of the year.
Gold Rallies 1.1% on Inflation Data; Analysts Eye $3,000 Target
Published: Wednesday, 15 January 2025 09:20 | |
| Gold futures advanced 1.1% to $2,711.90 per troy ounce, building on momentum from Tuesday's soft PPI data and benefiting from dollar weakness. The December CPI reading of 2.9%, up from November's 2.7%, aligned with market expectations and moderately strengthened the case for Federal Reserve monetary easing. While this development enhanced the appeal of non-interest-bearing bullion, StoneX analysts maintain a cautious near-term outlook, citing persistent bond yields as a limiting factor. However, they remain bullish on gold's longer-term prospects, forecasting a rise to $3,000 per ounce later in 2024.