"I Would Not Be Surprised If GOLD Clears $3000oz in 2025" Alan Hibbard
In this eye-opening discussion, Alan Hibbard from GoldSilver.com shares why 2025 could be a game-changing year for precious metals
Hawks vs. Doves: Fed Debates Pace of 2025 Rate Cuts
Federal Reserve officials are signaling a more conservative approach to rate cuts in 2025 compared to 2024's full percentage point reduction. Their cautious stance is influenced by persistent above-target inflation, robust labor market conditions, and uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of Trump's second-term policies, including potential tax cuts and tariffs. The divide between hawks and doves reflects varying concerns about inflation risks versus labor market stability.
Energy Markets Soar on Supply Concerns and Power Sector Shake-up
Oil prices rallied significantly with WTI crude reaching $80.04 and Brent hitting $82.03 per barrel, driven by winter demand and concerns over U.S. sanctions on Russia. The market is responding to multiple factors: eight consecutive weeks of U.S. crude inventory drawdowns, speculation about the incoming Trump administration's stance on Iran, and the International Energy Agency's forecast of 1.05 million barrels per day demand growth in 2025. Meanwhile, Constellation Energy's acquisition of Calpine for $16.4 billion is reshaping the power sector landscape.
Oil Drops as Red Sea Tensions Ease, Markets Eye Trump's Return
Oil prices declined on Thursday, with Brent crude falling 1.29% to $80.97 and WTI dropping 1.87% to $78.54, primarily due to expectations of reduced Houthi attacks in the Red Sea following a Gaza ceasefire agreement. The market also responded to strong U.S. retail data and Fed Governor Waller's comments suggesting potential earlier rate cuts, while anticipating policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration and monitoring OPEC+'s cautious stance on production increases.
Dovish Fed Hopes Drive Gold to Highest Level Since December
Gold has climbed to its highest level in over a month, trading at $2,719.49 per ounce, as multiple economic indicators point toward potential monetary policy easing. This rally was fueled by a confluence of factors: weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data, including higher jobless claims of 217,000 versus the forecast 210,000, and December's core inflation increase of just 0.2% after four consecutive months of 0.3% gains. These developments have significantly influenced market expectations, with traders now anticipating 37 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, up from 31 basis points before the inflation data. The precious metal's appeal is further enhanced by declining Treasury yields and ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in Gaza where recent airstrikes have resulted in significant casualties despite ceasefire announcements, reinforcing gold's traditional role as a safe-haven asset and hedge against inflation.