Economic Slowdown and Rising Inflation Cast Doubt on Soft-Landing Prospects

The U.S. economy experienced its slowest growth in nearly two years last quarter, accompanied by a notable increase in inflation, which dampened hopes for a soft landing. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 1.6%, falling below all economists' forecasts. The primary driver of economic growth, personal spending, increased at a modest 2.5% rate, which was less than expected. Additionally, a widening trade deficit contributed to the slowdown, marking the largest subtraction from growth since 2022. Inflation also showed signs of acceleration, with a key indicator rising at a 3.7% annualized rate. This was the first quarterly increase in a year, indicating that price pressures are resurfacing.

Read more ...

Gold Wavers as U.S. Economic Slowdown Spurs Rate Cut Speculation

Gold prices briefly recovered after falling to below $2,300, the biggest daily drop in nearly two years, influenced by weaker-than-expected U.S. business activity in April. This slowdown, marked by the first employment decline since 2020 and a contraction in the manufacturing and services sectors, has led to speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. Such cuts could benefit non-interest bearing assets like gold. However, despite a momentary lift from lower bond yields and a weaker dollar following the economic report, gold prices relinquished their gains amid diminishing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Read more ...

Gold Prices Stabilize as Focus Turns to Upcoming US Economic Indicators

Gold prices remained stable on Wednesday, as diminished risk premiums related to Middle East tensions were counterbalanced by the market's anticipation of upcoming U.S. economic data. This data is expected to provide key insights into the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions. Spot gold closed flat at $2,322.09 per ounce by mid-afternoon, maintaining its position after dropping to its lowest level since April 5 in the previous session. Meanwhile, U.S. gold futures saw a slight decline, settling 0.2% lower at $2,338.40.

Read more ...

Crude Retreats Below $83; U.S. Senate Targets Iranian Oil with New Sanctions

U.S. crude oil prices dropped back below $83 per barrel, reversing gains from a previous 2% rally as the market anticipates upcoming U.S. petroleum inventory data. The focus in the oil market has shifted back to supply and demand fundamentals, as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, which previously influenced the market, have eased. Additionally, the U.S. Senate has approved a foreign aid package that includes expanded sanctions against Iranian oil, targeting entities involved in its transportation and processing.

Read more ...

WTI Nears $83 as Traders Respond to U.S. Economic Slowdown

Oil prices advanced, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) closing near $83 a barrel, buoyed by the prospect of looser monetary policies which helped counterbalance diminishing geopolitical risk premiums. The oil market's gain was mirrored by a rally in equities, sparked by a report indicating this year's slowest growth in U.S. business activity—a development viewed by traders as a potential precursor to Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Read more ...