SAXO Bank: Can Gold Overcome the ‘September Curse’?
Published: Friday, 06 September 2024 02:43 | 
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Gold is trading near $2,500, attempting to overcome its historical tendency to decline in September, a pattern that's happened in 9 out of the last 10 years. Despite a recent dip to $2,470, gold has rebounded, buoyed by global economic slowdown concerns. This economic climate has increased risks for growth-dependent assets while simultaneously raising expectations for more aggressive interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, whose next meeting is scheduled for September 18. These factors are contributing to gold's resilience against its typical September weakness.
Stocks Head For Worst Week Since March 2023
Published: Friday, 06 September 2024 02:31 | |
| The stock market is experiencing its worst weekly decline since March 2023, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq falling sharply following a disappointing August jobs report. The labor market data showed fewer job additions than expected and downward revisions for previous months, raising concerns about economic cooling. This has led to increased volatility in both stock and bond markets as investors reassess their expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. While the unemployment rate slightly decreased, the overall jobs report has intensified debates about the pace of economic slowdown and the Fed's potential response.
August jobs report: Unemployment rate falls to 4.2%, labor market adds 142,000 jobs
Published: Friday, 06 September 2024 10:36 | |
| The US economy added 142,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in August, falling short of the 165,000 expected by economists. However, this was higher than July's revised figure of 89,000 jobs. The unemployment rate decreased to 4.2% from 4.3% in July. Wage growth increased to 3.8% year-over-year, up from 3.6% in July, with a monthly increase of 0.4%. While the job additions were lower than anticipated, some economists view the report as consistent with a "soft landing" rather than a recession.
Gold Prices Poised for Weekly Gain Ahead of Fed Decision Catalyst
Published: Friday, 06 September 2024 10:15 | |
| Gold prices are holding steady above $2,500 per ounce as investors eagerly await US economic data, particularly the payrolls report, which could significantly influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate cuts this month. Recent weak job market data has increased expectations for rate cuts, typically beneficial for gold as a non-interest-bearing asset. The precious metal has seen a substantial 20% rise this year, driven by rate cut optimism, strong over-the-counter purchases, and geopolitical tensions, with prices reaching a record high in August.
Election Jitters Keep Metals Market in Check, Says Citigroup
Published: Friday, 06 September 2024 09:55 | |
| The upcoming US presidential election is creating uncertainty in the metals market, potentially limiting price gains until after November. Citigroup analysts suggest that factors like Federal Reserve rate cuts, China's economic policies, and global manufacturing sentiment will have a more positive impact on metals prices in late 2024 or early 2025, once the election is over. The election's outcome could affect global risk appetite and influence China's stimulus decisions, which are crucial for metals demand.